Two plus months to go and Ashley has 56% of the Democrat/Republican vote. Perhaps the Fitzpatrick name and mystique will prevail once again but Bucks voted against Trump and Fitz doesn’t have nearly the panache of Trump. If Ehasz wins Bucks it will not be a surprise.
As you may have heard, the Supreme Court has struck down Roe v. Wade, endingnational protections for abortion rights. Brian Fitzpatrick also wants to restrict abortion rights, even if the woman’s life is in danger and in most cases of rape and incest. 
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